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Up 110.85  111.45 110.35 
Down 1.2260  1.2190  1.2315 
Up 1.3870  1.3950  1.3815 
Up 0.9580  0.9650  0.9525 
Up 0.7990  0.8050  0.7940 
Down

1.2430 

1.2360  1.2485 
Down 136.00  135.25  136.60 
    Last Update: 2018/01/19          上午 10:00

 

    Data shown Capacity Utilization in Japan was flat from last month and Industrial Production grew 0.5% in November were lower than previous hurt JPY yesterday. On the other hand, China released New Home Prices rose more than last month by 5.3% in 70 major cities year-on-year in December for the 27 straight months while Gross Domestic Production (GDP) in 2017 edged up 6.9% for the first time in seven years with Industrial Production and Retail Sales rose 6.2% an d 10.2% respectively from a year earlier in December added that Fixed Urban Investment increased 7.2% from a year earlier encouraged China’s Shanghai Composite Index closed up for the third straight day to more than two years high that pushed Asian stocks stuck record highs trimmed safe-haven demand in JPY, it helped USD/JPY to each 111.48 day high with 2-year U.S. Treasury yields jumped to the highest since 2008 supported USD. 

    However, USD was weighed as U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) officials said the U.S. economy should grow at good clip this year boosted tax cuts but they disagreed on rate hikes and U.S. President Donald Trump’s view of world trade that was aimed squarely at his America First stance would be challenged next week when he visits the World Economic Forum (WEF) at Davos judging by a paper seen by Reuters. Besides, economic research from Alliance Investment shown USD was overvalued around 10% and it expected USD would resume its weakness at the last six months after FED would hike interest rate twice at the first half of this year hurt USD. Moreover, weekly Initial Jobless Claims in U.S. decreased to 45-year low at 220,000 but both Building Permit and housing Starts in December decreased to 1.302 million and 1.192 million respectively with Philadelphia FED Business Index fell to plus 22.2 in January pressured USD. After U.S. lawmakers struggled to cobble together a federal budget deal prompted worries about a possible U.S. government shutdown, USD/JPY retreated to 110.68 day low. Forecast USD/JPY will be supported at 110.70-90 with resistance at 111.40-60 today.

 

    AUD was capped below 0.8 USD by profit-taking weighed on other riskier currencies yesterday after data shown Employment in Australia increased more than expected by 347,000 but Unemployment rose to 5.5% in December in a sign that labor supply over demand had so far prevented a much-needed acceleration in both wages growth and inflation, EUR/USD slipped to 1.2163 day low as concerns voiced by the European Central Bank (ECB) officials earlier this week dampened EUR momentum.

    Nevertheless, Euro Zone officials could pick a new ECB vice president within weeks to kick off two years of flux at the top of Europe’s most vital institutions and previewing to replace current ECB President Mario Draghi in November 2019 with hawkish Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann was seen as eager to claim the presidency at last supported EUR. Apart from that, EUR gained as the leader of Germany’s Social Democrats (SPD) cited progress in effort to win support for formal talks with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives. After the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Christine Lagarde told German broadcaster ARD that current level of German trade surplus was not justified with Treasury Department data shown China and Japan cut their Treasury holdings in November pressured USD, EUR/USD edged up to 1.2265 day high. Forecast EUR/USD will be sold from 1.2260-80 with support at 1.2180-1.2200 today.

 

    GBP was consolidated in lack of specific news to trigger the surge yesterday but some analysts said GBP had really recoupled itself to monetary policy in the current absence of Brexit-related noise and the deadlines for a Brexit deal approached GBP would drop again as the difficulty of talks reemerged, GBP/USD was traded around 1.3803 day low. Nonetheless, GBP   inched higher as the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) said that its monthly house price index rose to plus 8 in December from zero last month was the highest since May 201. After a Reuters poll shown the chance for Britain’s economic recession down to 15% and economic growth was expected revise up to 1.4%, it helped GBP/USD soared to 1.3912 day high. Forecast GBP/USD will be supported at 1.3850-70 with resistance at 1.3940-60 today.

 

 

Time Country Economic Data Month  Forecasts Previous
15:00  Germany  PPI MM  Dec  0.2%  0.1% 
15:00  Germany  PPI YY  Dec  2.3%  2.5% 
16:15  Switzerland  Producer/Import Prices MM  Jan  ---  0.6% 
16:15  Switzerland  Producer/Import Prices YY  Jan  ---  1.8% 
17:00  Euro Zone  Current Account NSA (EUR)  Nov  ---  35.9 bln 
17:00  Euro Zone  Current Account SA (EUR)  Nov  ---  30.8 bln 
17:30  U.K.  Retail Sales MM  Dec  -0.6%  1.1% 
17:30  U.K.  Retail Sales YY  Dec  3.0%  1.6% 
21:30  Canada  Manufacturing Sales MM  Nov  2.0%  -0.4% 
21:45  U.S.  Boston FED President Discussion  ---  ---  --- 
23:00  U.S.  U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim  Jan  97.0  95.9 
23:00  U.S.  U. Michigan Conditions Prelim  Jan  ---  113.8 
23:00  U.S.  U. Michigan Expectations Prelim  Jan  ---  84.3 
02:00  U.S.  Vice Chair of FED Supervision Speaks  ---  ---  --- 
02:30  U.S.  San Francisco FED President Speaks  ---  ---  --- 

 

 

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